Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 1Athletic Bilbao
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Como
Sunday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
44
We said: Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Conference League winners three years ago, before reaching a Europa League final and semi-final, Roma have lost only two of their last 38 home matches in Europe. Putting 27 wins on the board in that spell, the in-form Giallorossi should start favourites - but Athletic are also a force to be reckoned with and will surely score at least once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
43.21% ( -0.25) | 27.18% ( -0.1) | 29.62% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
