Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
26.07% | 26.93% | 47% |
Both teams to score 47.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.7% | 57.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.86% | 78.14% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% | 37.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.56% | 74.44% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% | 58.82% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.42% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |