La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 18, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Ramon de Carranza

Cadiz
2 - 2
Espanyol

Negredo (54'), Alejo (90+1')
Fali (46'), Espino (58'), Alejo (74'), Ledesma (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morlanes (10'), de Tomas (90+6')
Cabrera (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both sides will view this match as the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways, but we are finding it difficult to back either to triumph on Tuesday. Espanyol's away form this season has been disappointing, while Cadiz have the worst home record in the league, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Espanyol
22.46%	25.87%	51.67%

Both teams to score 46.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81%

56.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75%

77.25%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63%

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01%

76.99%

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19%

21.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98%

55.02%

Score Analysis

Cadiz 22.46%

Espanyol 51.66%

Draw 25.87%

Cadiz	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.62% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.46%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 13.4% 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-3 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.66%