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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Alaves logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Alaves

Budimir (76')
Torro (16'), Herrando (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vicente (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Alaves

Both teams are set to be missing some important players on Monday through injury, but we are still expecting it to be a tight match between two sides in good form. Osasuna have home advantage, but Alaves are not losing many at the moment, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlaves
42.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 29.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 27.35% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.6% (-0.016 -0.02)84.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)30.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)66.73% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 42.91%
    Alaves 27.35%
    Draw 29.72%
OsasunaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.95%
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.72%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Alaves

Osasuna
59.3%
Draw
31.1%
Alaves
9.6%
135
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Guevara (64'), Omorodion (65'), Garcia (85')
Blanco (49')
Arnaiz (36'), Budimir (90')
Pena (42'), Cruz (55'), Herrera (71')
Apr 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Osasuna
1-0
Alaves
Budimir (90+2')
Vidal (9'), Budimir (29'), Torro (45+3')

N'Diaye (15')
Sep 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Laguardia (13'), Moya (28'), Duarte (29'), Navarro (70')
Garcia (22'), Torres (29' pen.)
Torres (31'), Torro (73'), Sanchez (82')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
0-1
Osasuna

Pina (44'), Laguardia (68'), Perez (82')
Barja (77')
Garcia (30'), Vidal (40'), Garcia (65'), Cruz (73')
Dec 31, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Osasuna
1-1
Alaves
Torres (68')
Calleri (41'), Herrera (64'), Sanjurjo (73')
Ruben (8')
Perez (75' pen.)
Pina (37'), Deyverson (40'), Lejeune (55'), Jota (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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