La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Girona

Berenguer (2', 56'), Williams (60')
Lekue (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tsygankov (49'), Garcia (75')
Carlos (20'), Garcia (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Girona
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Girona

This is such a difficult match to call, and it will be fascinating to see Girona's response after their poorest result of the campaign. Athletic are such a strong team, but their recent league form has been patchy, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Girona
52.9% ( -1.04)	23.07% ( 0.14)	24.03% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 57.03% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67% (

0.31)

43.33% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27% (

0.3)

65.73% (

-0.3)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

-0.26)

16.38% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99% (

-0.47)

46.01% (

0.46)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

0.94)

31.79% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.77% (

1.06)

68.23% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 52.9%

Girona 24.03%

Draw 23.06%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Girona
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.9%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.03%