Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
52.42% ( 0.32) | 24.11% ( 0.11) | 23.47% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.59% ( -0.87) | 48.41% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.45% ( -0.8) | 70.55% ( 0.8) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.56% ( -0.21) | 18.43% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( -0.35) | 49.6% ( 0.35) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( -0.86) | 35.06% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( -0.91) | 71.81% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.41% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 23.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |