Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica0 - 1Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lusitania 1-4 Benfica
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Benfica 2-1 Real Sociedad
With Benfica's situation in Group D almost precarious, the Portuguese giants should eke out a victory over Sociedad to close the gap on the current joint-leaders to one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Real Sociedad |
53.85% ( -1.09) | 24.4% ( 0.41) | 21.75% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
