Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica0 - 1Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lusitania 1-4 Benfica
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Benfica 2-1 Real Sociedad
With Benfica's situation in Group D almost precarious, the Portuguese giants should eke out a victory over Sociedad to close the gap on the current joint-leaders to one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Real Sociedad |
53.85% ( -1.09) | 24.4% ( 0.41) | 21.75% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -0.89) | 51.32% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% ( -0.79) | 73.15% ( 0.79) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% ( -0.75) | 18.99% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.46% ( -1.26) | 50.53% ( 1.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( 0.17) | 38.31% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% ( 0.16) | 75.06% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica 53.84%
Real Sociedad 21.75%
Draw 24.39%
Benfica | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.75% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Real Sociedad
Benfica
59.6%Draw
16.9%Real Sociedad
23.6%178
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:21:38
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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