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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Getafe
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with both sides in strong form in the early stages of the season. It would not be a surprise to see a winner here either way, but we just have a feeling that the two teams will share the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
34.83% (0.675 0.68) 28.22% (0.138 0.14) 36.95% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.92% (-0.45 -0.45)59.08% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.47% (-0.349 -0.35)79.53% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.215 0.22)32.04% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.245 0.24)68.5% (-0.244 -0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.72 -0.72)30.68% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.859 -0.86)66.93% (0.86000000000001 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.82%
    Athletic Bilbao 36.95%
    Draw 28.21%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
47.9%
Draw
39.4%
Athletic Bilbao
12.7%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 29
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid24156352232951
2Atletico MadridAtletico24148239162350
3Barcelona23153564253948
4Athletic Bilbao23128336201644
5Villarreal24118547351241
6Rayo Vallecano239862724335
7Osasuna2471162933-432
8Real Sociedad2394102020031
9GironaGirona2494113235-331
10Mallorca2394102029-931
11Getafe247982018230
12Celta Vigo2485113538-329
13Real BetisBetis237882731-429
14Sevilla237792534-928
15Leganes2459102235-1324
16Las PalmasLas Palmas2365122838-1023
17Valencia2458112538-1323
18Espanyol2365122235-1323
19AlavesAlaves2457122838-1022
20Real ValladolidValladolid2343161548-3315


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