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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Beltran Baguena
Real Sociedad logo

Bunol
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


A. (50'), Duco (59'), Caballero (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (67')
Marrero (89'), Pacheco (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Bunol and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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We said: Bunol 0-5 Real Sociedad

While Sociedad may have to get used to the surroundings at Campo de Futbol Beltran Baguena, this should be nothing but one-way traffic. Bunol will gain great experience from this encounter, but the top-flight giants should not have to get out of first gear. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 97.46%. A draw had a probability of 2.2% and a win for Bunol had a probability of 0.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-4 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.7%) and 0-5 (13.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.09%), while for a Bunol win it was 1-0 (0.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
BunolDrawReal Sociedad
0.34% (-0.0161 -0.02) 2.2% (-0.0639 -0.06) 97.46% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Both teams to score 17.28% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.87% (0.211 0.21)17.13% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.12% (0.316 0.32)33.88% (-0.317 -0.32)
Bunol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
17.51% (-0.331 -0.33)82.49% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)98.37% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)1.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
92.97% (0.131 0.13)7.03% (-0.132 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bunol 0.34%
    Real Sociedad 97.45%
    Draw 2.2%
BunolDrawReal Sociedad
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 0.34%
0-0 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-1 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 2.2%
0-4 @ 15.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 14.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-5 @ 13.77% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 10.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-6 @ 9.94% (0.129 0.13)
0-7 @ 6.14% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-8 @ 3.32% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-5 @ 2.65% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-6 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-9 @ 1.6% (0.046 0.05)
1-7 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 97.45%

How you voted: Bunol vs Real Sociedad

Bunol
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
Real Sociedad
88.9%
9
rhs 2.0
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