Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
53.58% | 24.65% | 21.77% |
Both teams to score 49.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% | 52.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% | 74% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% | 19.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% | 51.33% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.15% | 38.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.42% | 75.59% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |