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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Las Palmas

Valencia
2 - 3
Las Palmas

Pepelu (14' pen.), Tarrega (90+4')
Pepelu (8'), Rozada (28'), Abajas Martin (30')
Pepelu (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Munoz (43'), Silva (53'), Moleiro (84')
Silva (7'), Rioja (8'), Campana (12'), Essugo (23'), Barrenechea (37'), Cardona (70'), Rodriguez (71'), Suarez (77'), Munoz (82'), Moleiro (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Valencia
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Las Palmas

Already approaching six-pointer status, this foot-of-the-table contest will be full of caution and may be decided by just one goal. Even a struggling Valencia side should be able to edge out Las Palmas, who have sacked their coach after recording four away defeats, in which they conceded an average of over two goals per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
51.63% (-0.341 -0.34) 26.87% (0.427 0.43) 21.5% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.91% (-1.177 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.54% (-1.481 -1.48)60.46% (1.483 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.41% (-1.134 -1.13)80.59% (1.135 1.13)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.78700000000001 -0.79)23.64% (0.789 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-1.15 -1.15)57.73% (1.151 1.15)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19% (-0.952 -0.95)43.81% (0.954 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03% (-0.796 -0.8)79.97% (0.797 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 51.62%
    Las Palmas 21.5%
    Draw 26.86%
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 14.93% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.62%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.558 0.56)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Valencia vs Las Palmas

Valencia
78.1%
Draw
14.6%
Las Palmas
7.3%
178
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Las Palmas
2-0
Valencia
Suarez (89'), Cardona (90+5')
Marmol (48'), Cardona (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Pepelu (74' pen.)
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
Jan 3, 2018 8pm
Fifth Round
Las Palmas
1-1
Valencia
Calleri (36')
Galvez (62'), Navarro (78'), Calleri (90')
Rodrigo (85')
Zaza (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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