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Girona logo
Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Atletico

Duro (5', 34'), Guerra (54')
Mamardashvili (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hermoso (23'), Llorente (36'), Griezmann (37'), Niguez (74'), Barrios (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico were stunning against Rayo last time out, and while we are not predicting a similar outcome here, the capital giants should have enough quality to secure another three points against a Valencia side that have been disappointing in their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
31.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 42.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91% (0.016999999999996 0.02)54.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (0.012999999999998 0.01)75.52% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56%68.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.016999999999996 0.02)25.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.022999999999996 0.02)60.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 31.16%
    Atletico Madrid 42.12%
    Draw 26.71%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
8.5%
Draw
6.4%
Atletico Madrid
85.1%
47
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
3-0
Valencia
Griezmann (23'), Carrasco (49'), Lemar (67')
Aug 29, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
0-1
Atletico

Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')
Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Cunha (64'), Correa (90+1'), Hermoso (90+3')
Koke (27'), Hermoso (37'), Suarez (82'), Herrera (84'), Gimenez (90+3')
Musah (25'), Duro (44')
Correia (14'), Foulquier (37'), Musah (43'), Guillamon (61'), Lato (65'), Domenech (83')
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Valencia
3-3
Atletico
Savic (50' og.), Duro (90+2', 90+6')
Guillamon (76'), Musah (90+4')
Suarez (35'), Griezmann (58'), Vrsaljko (62')
Carrasco (90'), Griezmann (90+5')
Jan 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Atletico
3-1
Valencia
Felix (23'), Suarez (54'), Correa (72')
Vrsaljko (30'), Savic (76')
Racic (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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