Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
53.69% ( -0.3) | 25.17% ( 0.29) | 21.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -1.09) | 54.92% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( -0.91) | 76.21% ( 0.91) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.55) | 20.46% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.88) | 52.92% ( 0.88) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.01% ( -0.62) | 40.98% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% ( -0.56) | 77.54% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |