We said: Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps
Dundalk will see this as the perfect fixture to get their season back on track after a couple of poor results on the bounce, especially since they are undefeated at home.
While Finn Harps are certainly going to try and put up a fight and create difficulties as they did in their most recent outing, this could be too much for them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.55%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.