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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Morecambe

Shrewsbury
3 - 1
Morecambe

Leahy (33' pen.), Street (44'), Dunkley (84')
Moore (21'), Cotterill (22'), Bayliss (62'), Leahy (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Crowley (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Morecambe

 Given Morecambe's struggles on the road, this clash provides playoff-chasing Shrewsbury Town with the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways. The Shrews have netted at least two goals in each of their previous nine home league wins, putting them in a strong position to notch another high-scoring victory at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawMorecambe
60.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 22.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 17.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (0.114 0.11)46.98% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (0.107 0.11)69.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.029999999999987 0.03)15.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24% (0.062000000000005 0.06)43.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (0.105 0.11)40.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.094999999999999 0.09)76.8% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 60.24%
    Morecambe 17.72%
    Draw 22.03%
Shrewsbury TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 60.24%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.72%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Morecambe

Shrewsbury Town
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
0-0
Shrewsbury

Love (77'), Delaney (82')

Bowman (63'), Flanagan (80')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
5-0
Morecambe
Udoh (44', 65'), Leahy (47' pen., 51'), Bowman (70')

Wildig (50'), McLoughlin (89')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
2-0
Shrewsbury
Phillips (34' pen.), Stockton (44')
McLoughlin (54'), Cooney (61')

Davis (25'), Pierre (66'), Daniels (90+4')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Second Round
Shrewsbury
2-0
Morecambe
Rodman (32'), Whalley (37' pen.)
Payne (39')

Roche (36'), Wildig (69')
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
Morecambe
1-4
Shrewsbury
Redshaw (28')
Drummond (62'), Redshaw (74')
Arestidou (49')
Goldson (33'), Collins (35'), Grandison (84'), Barnett (94')
Grant (40')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
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8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
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14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
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18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
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21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
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> League One Full Table


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