League One

League One | Gameweek 36

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 1
Morecambe

Leahy (33' pen.), Street (44'), Dunkley (84')
Moore (21'), Cotterill (22'), Bayliss (62'), Leahy (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Crowley (45+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Morecambe

Given Morecambe's struggles on the road, this clash provides playoff-chasing Shrewsbury Town with the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways. The Shrews have netted at least two goals in each of their previous nine home league wins, putting them in a strong position to notch another high-scoring victory at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Morecambe
60.25% ( -0.02)	22.04% ( -0.02)	17.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02% (

0.11)

46.98% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.78% (

0.11)

69.22% (

-0.11)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

0.03)

15.16% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24% (

0.06)

43.76% (

-0.07)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

0.11)

40.16% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

0.09)

76.8% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 60.24%

Morecambe 17.72%

Draw 22.03%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 60.24%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.72%