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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.19%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
71.46% ( -0) | 19.08% ( 0) | 9.46% |
Both teams to score 37.71% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( 0) | 52.26% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% ( 0) | 73.96% ( -0) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.62% | 13.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.71% ( 0) | 40.28% ( -0) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.53% ( 0) | 56.47% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.26% ( 0) | 88.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-0 @ 15.28% 1-0 @ 15.19% 3-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 5.16% 4-1 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.11% Total : 71.45% | 1-1 @ 8.68% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.08% | 0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.43% Total : 9.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |