EFL Trophy | Final
Apr 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton4 - 0Plymouth
The Match
Match Report
Bolton Wanderers thrash Plymouth Argyle 4-0 at Wembley to lift their first EFL Trophy in 34 years.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Bolton
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League One
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
46.31% ( -0.03) | 24.25% ( 0) | 29.44% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
