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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Port Vale

Accrington
3 - 0
Port Vale

Stevens (31' og.), Rodgers (40'), Presley (68' pen.)
Butler-Oyedeji (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Port Vale

Accrington and Port Vale played out a 1-1 draw when they met in February, and with both sides struggling for victories, we think that Friday's fixture will also finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
19.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 56.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.28% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.73%
    Port Vale 56.31%
    Draw 23.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.73%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.31%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Accrington
Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')
Rodgers (75')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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