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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Port Vale

Accrington
3 - 0
Port Vale

Stevens (31' og.), Rodgers (40'), Presley (68' pen.)
Butler-Oyedeji (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Port Vale

Accrington and Port Vale played out a 1-1 draw when they met in February, and with both sides struggling for victories, we think that Friday's fixture will also finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
19.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 56.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.28% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.73%
    Port Vale 56.31%
    Draw 23.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.73%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.31%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Accrington
Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')
Rodgers (75')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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