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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Port Vale

Accrington
3 - 0
Port Vale

Stevens (31' og.), Rodgers (40'), Presley (68' pen.)
Butler-Oyedeji (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Port Vale

Accrington and Port Vale played out a 1-1 draw when they met in February, and with both sides struggling for victories, we think that Friday's fixture will also finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
19.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 56.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.28% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.73%
    Port Vale 56.31%
    Draw 23.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.73%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.31%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Accrington
Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')
Rodgers (75')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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