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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
19.73% ( 0) | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 56.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.06% ( -0.02) | 51.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.32% ( -0.02) | 73.68% ( 0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% ( -0.01) | 40.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% ( -0) | 77.35% ( 0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.01) | 18.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% ( -0.02) | 49.35% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.1% 2-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.73% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |