We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Accrington Stanley
Sheffield Wednesday's promotion bid has stuttered in recent weeks, but they are still a formidable force on home turf, having lost just one of their 20 league matches at Hillsborough this season, and we think that they will continue that run against an Accrington side that are winless in nine away league games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 77.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.45%) and 1-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.