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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Bolton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Burton Albion

 Although Burton will enter Monday's contest off the back of consecutive home victories, they have tended to struggle on the road, having lost four of their last five matches. We think that the Brewers could experience more away-day disappointment against a Bolton side that has won seven of their previous eight competitive home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
68.87% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4) 17.78% (0.188 0.19) 13.35% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)36.32% (0.373 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (-0.409 -0.41)58.45% (0.411 0.41)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.19 -0.19)9.56% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (-0.455 -0.45)32.01% (0.457 0.46)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)39.29% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.071999999999999 0.07)76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.87%
    Burton Albion 13.35%
    Draw 17.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 68.87%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.78%
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
88.2%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Walker (59')
Adeboyejo (5')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Hughes (73')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion
Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')
Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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