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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Northampton Town

Bolton
2 - 1
Northampton

Charles (8'), Williams (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hoskins (66')
Hondermarck (86')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawNorthampton Town
49.27% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 23.99% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.74% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.214 0.21)45.07% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.204 0.2)67.42% (-0.203 -0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.061000000000007 0.06)18.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (0.101 0.1)49.52% (-0.101 -0.1)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (0.18000000000001 0.18)30.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.213 0.21)66.78% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 49.27%
    Northampton Town 26.74%
    Draw 23.99%
Bolton WanderersDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.74%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Le Fondre (75' pen.), Morais (82')
Smith (57')
Richards (17'), Buchanan (51')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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