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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Bristol Rovers

Port Vale
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Garrity (42'), Dipepa (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoole (34'), Wilson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Port Vale and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Port Vale will have a renewed sense of belief following their narrow win over Burton, and with Bristol Rovers experiencing a dip in form, Friday's fixture represents the perfect opportunity for the hosts to boost their survival hopes with three more precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBristol Rovers
36.94% (-0.269 -0.27) 26.03% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 37.03% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.094999999999999 0.09)50.28% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.085000000000001 0.09)72.23% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.108 -0.11)26.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.143 -0.14)61.61% (0.144 0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.212 0.21)26.39% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.28 0.28)61.54% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 36.94%
    Bristol Rovers 37.03%
    Draw 26.02%
Port ValeDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 36.94%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.03%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers

Port Vale
55.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bristol Rovers
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
McCormick (25'), Hunt (45+2'), Brown (85')
Grant (47')

Debrah (18'), Devine (42')
Debrah (38')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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