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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Bolton

Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Exeter have only picked up one point from their last four games, and things are unlikely to get any easier for them against one of the strongest teams in the division on Saturday. Bolton should be riding high after coming from two goals behind to claim a precious point away to their promotion rivals Barnsley in midweek, while the potential return of Charles to their travelling squad will provide another boost. We expect them to claim a narrow victory and remain in the top two positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
24.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 50.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 24.63%
    Bolton Wanderers 50.41%
    Draw 24.96%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.41%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
8.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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