MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:16:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Bolton

Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Exeter have only picked up one point from their last four games, and things are unlikely to get any easier for them against one of the strongest teams in the division on Saturday. Bolton should be riding high after coming from two goals behind to claim a precious point away to their promotion rivals Barnsley in midweek, while the potential return of Charles to their travelling squad will provide another boost. We expect them to claim a narrow victory and remain in the top two positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
24.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 50.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 24.63%
    Bolton Wanderers 50.41%
    Draw 24.96%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.41%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
8.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!