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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Bishop (45+3' pen.)
Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Earl (63')
Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth may have suffered a disappointing defeat in the EFL Trophy in midweek, but they have been in imperious form in the third tier. After winning each of their last four league games without conceding, we think that they will get the better of a struggling Fleetwood side in their final home fixture of the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
57.38% (-0.555 -0.56) 21.84% (0.242 0.24) 20.78% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-0.671 -0.67)41.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-0.681 -0.68)63.98% (0.685 0.69)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.393 -0.39)14.27% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.774 -0.77)42.06% (0.777 0.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)33.74% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)70.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 57.38%
    Fleetwood Town 20.78%
    Draw 21.83%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-2
Portsmouth
Bishop (43'), Pigott (83')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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