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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
57.38% ( -0.56) | 21.84% ( 0.24) | 20.78% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.42% ( -0.67) | 41.58% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.02% ( -0.68) | 63.98% ( 0.69) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% ( -0.39) | 14.27% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.94% ( -0.77) | 42.06% ( 0.78) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( -0.08) | 33.74% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( -0.09) | 70.4% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |