We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Fleetwood Town
Portsmouth may have suffered a disappointing defeat in the EFL Trophy in midweek, but they have been in imperious form in the third tier.
After winning each of their last four league games without conceding, we think that they will get the better of a struggling Fleetwood side in their final home fixture of the calendar year.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.