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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Burton Albion

Charlton
3 - 2
Burton Albion

Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Payne (87'), Maynard-Brewer (90+7')
Payne (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Moon (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides have improved considerably in recent weeks, with Burton looking like a much better team in the second half of the season, and they will both have aims of competing at the top end of the table next season. Charlton have been solid at home of late, having not lost since a 1-0 defeat against promotion-chasing Sheffield Wednesday in February, while Burton won 3-2 away at Port vale in their last away trip, so the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
55.25% (-0.419 -0.42) 22.43% (0.161 0.16) 22.32% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.427 -0.43)42.31% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.43 -0.43)64.71% (0.428 0.43)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.285 -0.28)15.21% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.538 -0.54)43.85% (0.536 0.54)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 55.25%
    Burton Albion 22.32%
    Draw 22.43%
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 55.25%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Charlton vs Burton Albion

Charlton Athletic
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Burton Albion
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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