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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Burton Albion

Charlton
3 - 2
Burton Albion

Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Payne (87'), Maynard-Brewer (90+7')
Payne (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Moon (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Charlton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion

 The two sides have improved considerably in recent weeks, with Burton looking like a much better team in the second half of the season, and they will both have aims of competing at the top end of the table next season. Charlton have been solid at home of late, having not lost since a 1-0 defeat against promotion-chasing Sheffield Wednesday in February, while Burton won 3-2 away at Port vale in their last away trip, so the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
55.25% (-0.419 -0.42) 22.43% (0.161 0.16) 22.32% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.427 -0.43)42.31% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.43 -0.43)64.71% (0.428 0.43)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.285 -0.28)15.21% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.538 -0.54)43.85% (0.536 0.54)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 55.25%
    Burton Albion 22.32%
    Draw 22.43%
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 55.25%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Charlton vs Burton Albion

Charlton Athletic
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Burton Albion
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Charlton
1-2
Burton Albion
Stockley (9')
Fondop-Talum (25'), Watson (54' og.)
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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