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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Burton Albion |
55.25% ( -0.42) | 22.43% ( 0.16) | 22.32% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.05% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.69% ( -0.43) | 42.31% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% ( -0.43) | 64.71% ( 0.43) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( -0.28) | 15.21% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% ( -0.54) | 43.85% ( 0.54) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% ( -0.01) | 32.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.72% ( -0.01) | 69.27% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.25% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |