Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.