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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Seddon (45+4')
Moon (34'), Nsiala (50'), Crocombe (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (51'), Davies (71')
Ferry (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Burton may have lost out to Lincoln at the weekend, but they have won three of their previous five home matches, and we think they will draw upon that success to claim a narrow victory over a Cheltenham side that has lost their last three away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
32.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 39.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)56.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.05% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.023 0.02)68.52% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.96%
    Cheltenham Town 39.52%
    Draw 27.5%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.52%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
65.2%
Draw
27.3%
Cheltenham Town
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
0-0
Burton Albion
Ferry (88')
Sweeney (35'), Powell (44'), Oshilaja (50'), Crocombe (71')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Cheltenham
Akins (67')
Hamer (82'), Brayford (90+2')
Wright (28')
Lloyd (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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