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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Seddon (45+4')
Moon (34'), Nsiala (50'), Crocombe (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (51'), Davies (71')
Ferry (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Burton may have lost out to Lincoln at the weekend, but they have won three of their previous five home matches, and we think they will draw upon that success to claim a narrow victory over a Cheltenham side that has lost their last three away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
32.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 39.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)56.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.05% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.023 0.02)68.52% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.96%
    Cheltenham Town 39.52%
    Draw 27.5%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.52%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
65.2%
Draw
27.3%
Cheltenham Town
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
0-0
Burton Albion
Ferry (88')
Sweeney (35'), Powell (44'), Oshilaja (50'), Crocombe (71')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Cheltenham
Akins (67')
Hamer (82'), Brayford (90+2')
Wright (28')
Lloyd (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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