League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 4
Oxford Utd

Powell (50'), Brayford (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Harris (24', 57'), Murphy (62'), Henry (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Fleetwood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Oxford United

It is difficult to back Burton at the moment due to their struggles, but the same cannot be said for Oxford, who are pushing for a top-six spot. The visitors were excellent against a struggling Fleetwood last time out, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Oxford United
24.32% ( 0.02)	24.07% ( 0.01)	51.61% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

-0.02)

47.41% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37% (

-0.02)

69.63% (

0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0)

33.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

-0)

70.42% (

-0)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

-0.02)

18.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

-0.03)

49.49% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 24.32%

Oxford United 51.6%

Draw 24.07%

Burton Albion	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.32%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.6%