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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
46.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.0040000000000049 0)35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.01%
    Carlisle United 27.53%
    Draw 26.44%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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