FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
4 - 0
Fleetwood

Andrew (7'), Kachunga (11'), Okenabirhie (13'), Ahadme (83')
Okedina (38')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Stockley (65')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Neither team head into this game in strong form whatsoever, with both sides appearing to be set for relegation battles in League One. Cambridge will have no permanent manager in charge for this match after sacking Bonner, so could be a little disjointed. As such, we can envisage a draw between two evenly matched outfits, which would give Fleetwood the advantage to progress to the third round with a home replay to come. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
38.88% ( -0.12)	25.34% ( -0.01)	35.78% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.47% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

0.05)

47.28% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

0.04)

69.5% (

-0.04)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

-0.04)

24% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

-0.06)

58.25% (

0.06)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

0.09)

25.69% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

0.13)

60.61% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 38.88%

Fleetwood Town 35.78%

Draw 25.33%

Cambridge United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.78%