League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 1
Cambridge

Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

There is very little between these two teams in the league table right now with both of them having tough starts to this season. That is something that could end up being reflected on the day in what is likely going to be a cagey match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Cambridge United
50.49% ( -0.03)	25.82% ( 0.01)	23.68% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04% (

-0.01)

54.96% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.76% (

-0)

76.24% (

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

-0.01)

21.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98% (

-0.02)

55.02% (

0.02)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

0.01)

38.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

0.01)

75.24% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 50.49%

Cambridge United 23.68%

Draw 25.82%

Northampton Town	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.68%