Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.