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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Wycombe Wanderers

Cambridge
1 - 2
Wycombe

Smith (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tafazolli (33'), Wheeler (44')
Grimmer (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers

Morecambe laid the template for their relegation rivals Cambridge to follow in terms of keeping Wycombe at bay at the weekend, and we expect the hosts to do exactly that on Tuesday. The U's have been in excellent form during recent weeks and appear to have renewed optimism in terms of staying in the division, whereas Wycombe's playoff hopes were surely ended by their surprise defeat in the North West at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
28.18% (0.996 1) 25.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 45.85% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.825 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (0.743 0.74)52.44% (-0.735 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (0.634 0.63)74.12% (-0.62599999999999 -0.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (1.177 1.18)33.32% (-1.17 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (1.271 1.27)69.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.119 -0.12)22.83% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.181 -0.18)56.56% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 28.18%
    Wycombe Wanderers 45.84%
    Draw 25.96%
Cambridge UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.18%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.3% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.09% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Wycombe

Cambridge United
55.6%
Draw
5.6%
Wycombe Wanderers
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Wycombe
2-3
Cambridge
Vokes (35'), Wing (90+7')
Knibbs (6'), Lankester (45+1'), Jones (77')
Brophy (50')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Cambridge
1-4
Wycombe
Knibbs (79')
Digby (86')
Vokes (7', 54'), Scowen (56'), McCleary (89')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Wycombe
3-0
Cambridge
Mehmeti (11', 85'), McCleary (15')
Obita (69'), McCarthy (84')

May (36')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
1-3
Wycombe
Elito (70' pen.)
Ikpeazu (45'), Maris (45'), Legge (63')
Legge (82')
Eze (48', 57'), Umerah (89')
Stewart (45'), Saunders (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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