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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Wycombe Wanderers

Cambridge
1 - 2
Wycombe

Smith (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tafazolli (33'), Wheeler (44')
Grimmer (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers

Morecambe laid the template for their relegation rivals Cambridge to follow in terms of keeping Wycombe at bay at the weekend, and we expect the hosts to do exactly that on Tuesday. The U's have been in excellent form during recent weeks and appear to have renewed optimism in terms of staying in the division, whereas Wycombe's playoff hopes were surely ended by their surprise defeat in the North West at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
28.18% (0.996 1) 25.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 45.85% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.825 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (0.743 0.74)52.44% (-0.735 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (0.634 0.63)74.12% (-0.62599999999999 -0.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (1.177 1.18)33.32% (-1.17 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (1.271 1.27)69.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.119 -0.12)22.83% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.181 -0.18)56.56% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 28.18%
    Wycombe Wanderers 45.84%
    Draw 25.96%
Cambridge UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.18%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.3% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.09% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Wycombe

Cambridge United
Draw
Wycombe Wanderers
Cambridge United
55.6%
Draw
5.6%
Wycombe Wanderers
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Wycombe
2-3
Cambridge
Vokes (35'), Wing (90+7')
Knibbs (6'), Lankester (45+1'), Jones (77')
Brophy (50')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Cambridge
1-4
Wycombe
Knibbs (79')
Digby (86')
Vokes (7', 54'), Scowen (56'), McCleary (89')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Wycombe
3-0
Cambridge
Mehmeti (11', 85'), McCleary (15')
Obita (69'), McCarthy (84')

May (36')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
1-3
Wycombe
Elito (70' pen.)
Ikpeazu (45'), Maris (45'), Legge (63')
Legge (82')
Eze (48', 57'), Umerah (89')
Stewart (45'), Saunders (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
15Stevenage441510194048-855
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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