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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Cambridge
1 - 2
Charlton

Jones (72')
Bennett (27'), Seddon (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leaburn (14'), Rak-Sakyi (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 0-1 Charlton Athletic

Neither side has been particularly impressive in recent weeks, but we expect Charlton to do just enough to secure the three points, plunging Cambridge into real danger of being relegated. The Addicks managed to record a narrow 1-0 away victory against struggling Forest Green Rovers last month, and it would not be a surprise to see a similar scoreline on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
31.08% (0.975 0.98) 26.46% (-0.241 -0.24) 42.46% (-0.736 -0.74)
Both teams to score 51.5% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (1.296 1.3)53.12% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (1.09 1.09)74.69% (-1.093 -1.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (1.366 1.37)31.54% (-1.368 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (1.547 1.55)67.93% (-1.549 -1.55)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.205 0.2)24.77% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (0.287 0.29)59.34% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.08%
    Charlton Athletic 42.46%
    Draw 26.46%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 2% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.46%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Cambridge
0-2
Charlton
Taylor (73'), Washington (80')
Dobson (35'), Washington (61')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Cambridge
Washington (30', 89')
Famewo (39'), Stockley (45+3'), Clare (50'), Washington (56'), Pearce (76')

Dunk (14'), May (29'), Ironside (45+2'), Digby (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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