League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Leyton Orient

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Leyton Orient

Carlisle have only won one of their last four matches against Orient, and as mentioned, were beaten in both games in League Two last season. We are expecting Saturday's fixture to be close in terms of the general play and scoreline but are backing Orient to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Leyton Orient
39.12% ( -0.07)	27.47% ( -0.01)	33.41% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.53% (

0.06)

56.48% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53% (

0.05)

77.48% (

-0.05)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.01)

28.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

-0.02)

63.8% (

0.02)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

0.09)

31.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

0.1)

68.06% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 39.12%

Leyton Orient 33.41%

Draw 27.47%

Carlisle United	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.41%