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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Leyton Orient

Carlisle
0 - 1
Leyton Orient

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Leyton Orient

 Carlisle have only won one of their last four matches against Orient, and as mentioned, were beaten in both games in League Two last season. We are expecting Saturday's fixture to be close in terms of the general play and scoreline but are backing Orient to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
39.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 27.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 33.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.062999999999995 0.06)56.48% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)77.48% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)28.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.088000000000008 0.09)31.65% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.103 0.1)68.06% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 39.12%
    Leyton Orient 33.41%
    Draw 27.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Leyton Orient

Carlisle United
16.0%
Draw
36.0%
Leyton Orient
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-1
Leyton Orient
Abrahams (9' pen.)
Smith (74')
Sweeney (17'), Smith (55'), Drinan (61'), Kyprianou (65'), Clay (90+2')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Leyton Orient
2-3
Carlisle
Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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