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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Morecambe
1 - 4
Charlton

Love (61')
Weir (51')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leaburn (17'), Taylor (21', 43'), Fraser (69')
Thomas (24'), Morgan (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Charlton Athletic

 With neither side in particularly good form, that may suit the hosts as they look to cause an upset. However, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair at the Mazuma Stadium, as Charlton have only won once on their travels while Morecambe have the second-worst home record in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCharlton Athletic
34.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 38.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)74.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.67% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)61.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 34.58%
    Charlton Athletic 38.78%
    Draw 26.63%
MorecambeDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.58%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.78%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Charlton

Morecambe
48.0%
Draw
32.0%
Charlton Athletic
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-3
Morecambe
Stockley (53'), Aneke (81')
Pearce (75')
Stockton (26'), Gnahoua (43', 59')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-2
Charlton
Stockton (29' pen.), O'Connor (72')
Ayunga (60'), Leigh (90+1')
Jaiyesimi (2'), Washington (27')
Gunter (28'), Dobson (69')
rhs 2.0
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> League One Full Table


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