League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Although Charlton have won the last three head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth have won their previous six competitive home matches, and we think that they will draw upon their fine home form to claim all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.66% . A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.11% .
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.41%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%) , while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.59%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood .
Result Portsmouth Draw Charlton Athletic 57.66% ( -0.12) 21.23% ( 0.05) 21.11% ( 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.1)
61.69% ( -0.18) 38.31% ( 0.18)
39.41% ( -0.19) 60.59% ( 0.19)
86.89% ( -0.09) 13.11% ( 0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 60.25% ( -0.19) 39.75% ( 0.19)
68.43% ( -0.04) 31.57% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.03% ( -0.05) 67.97% ( 0.05)
Portsmouth 57.66%
Charlton Athletic 21.11%
Draw 21.23%
Portsmouth Draw Charlton Athletic 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 57.66% 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.23% 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 21.11%
How you voted: Portsmouth vs Charlton
Portsmouth
Draw
Charlton Athletic
13
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-05 05:48:46
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