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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Lincoln City |
47.66% ( -0.03) | 24.84% ( 0.01) | 27.49% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( -0.03) | 48.22% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( -0.03) | 70.37% ( 0.03) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% ( -0.03) | 20.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.37% ( -0.05) | 52.63% ( 0.04) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% | 31.63% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% ( -0) | 68.03% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |