League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Mandroiu (23' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Browne (32'), Moore (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Oxford United
37.84% ( 0.03)	27.97% ( -0.02)	34.19% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.77% (

0.05)

58.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

0.04)

78.87% (

-0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

0.04)

29.72% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

0.05)

65.78% (

-0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

0.02)

32.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.51% (

0.02)

68.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 37.84%

Oxford United 34.18%

Draw 27.96%

Lincoln City	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.18%