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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Portsmouth |
38.64% ( 0.01) | 26.37% ( -0) | 34.98% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% ( 0.01) | 51.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% ( 0.01) | 73.6% ( -0.01) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.01) | 26.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( 0.01) | 61.3% ( -0.01) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0) | 28.34% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% ( 0) | 64.07% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |