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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Lincoln City |
68.03% ( 0) | 19.56% ( -0) | 12.4% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.16% ( -0) | 46.83% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.91% ( -0.01) | 69.09% ( 0) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( -0) | 12.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61% ( -0) | 38.99% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.5% ( -0.01) | 47.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.13% ( -0.01) | 82.86% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Lincoln City |
2-0 @ 12.84% 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.87% Total : 68.02% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.56% | 0-1 @ 4.51% 1-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.77% Total : 12.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |