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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
43.33% ( -0) | 24.03% ( -0) | 32.64% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( 0) | 41.94% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( 0) | 64.34% ( -0) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% | 19.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% | 51.51% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0) | 25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( 0) | 59.66% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |