MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 02:23:07| >> :600:530805:530805:
Crawley Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crawley
3 - 4
AFC Wimbledon

Darcy (71' pen.), Hepburn-Murphy (80'), Flint (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maycock (44'), Stevens (55'), Tilley (57'), Pigott (90+6')
Ball (18'), Stevens (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 AFC Wimbledon

 While Crawley have struggled for results in recent weeks, we believe that they have the stronger squad compared to their opponents, who have also faced difficulties in recent outings, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
28.88% (0.029 0.03) 24.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 46.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.36% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)66.74% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.010000000000005 0.01)28.62% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.012 0.01)64.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)19.03% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)50.61% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.88%
    AFC Wimbledon 46.95%
    Draw 24.16%
Crawley TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 46.95%

How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon

Crawley Town
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
AFC Wimbledon
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley

Tilley (11')
Orsi (78')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (83')
Gladwin (51'), Conroy (69')
Davison (13'), Al-Hamadi (18')
Lewis (15'), Jackson (16'), Reeves (27'), Al-Hamadi (45+3'), Currie (90+8')
Jackson (0'), Lewis (65')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Crawley
Nadesan (5')
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crawley
Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')
Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')
Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!