League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Cheltenham1 - 1Derby
Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Derby
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Derby County |
16.47% ( 0.06) | 21.83% ( 0.01) | 61.7% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.91% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
