League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Blackpool1 - 3Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
We said: Blackpool 1-1 Derby County
With Blackpool and Derby separated by just one point in the league table, we expect Tuesday's contest to produce a close-fought affair, which may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Derby County |
34.67% ( -0.22) | 26.95% ( 0.07) | 38.39% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
