MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:32:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

League One
Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Derby logo

Blackpool
1 - 3
Derby

Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 1-1 Derby County

 With Blackpool and Derby separated by just one point in the league table, we expect Tuesday's contest to produce a close-fought affair, which may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
34.67% (-0.218 -0.22) 26.95% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.39% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.297 -0.3)54.25% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.247 -0.25)75.65% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (-0.283 -0.28)29.72% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (-0.346 -0.35)65.78% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.48% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)62.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 34.67%
    Derby County 38.38%
    Draw 26.95%
BlackpoolDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Derby

Blackpool
46.7%
Draw
13.3%
Derby County
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
Blackpool
0-1
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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