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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Fleetwood Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (28')
Hayes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood have only scored 11 times this season, which is the second-fewest in the division. However, they are coming up against an Exeter side that are shipping goals left and right at the moment, and this is the perfect opportunity for them to get back to winning ways in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
53.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.17%22.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.13% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.12%
    Fleetwood Town 22.69%
    Draw 24.17%
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.69%

How you voted: Exeter vs Fleetwood

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Fleetwood Town
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Nov 10, 2012 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Fleetwood
Cureton (24'), O'Flynn (57' pen.)
O'Flynn (59')
McNulty (13'), Nicholson (41')
Nicholson (45'), Davies (56'), Mawene (56'), Ferguson (61'), Ball (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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