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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Fleetwood Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (28')
Hayes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood have only scored 11 times this season, which is the second-fewest in the division. However, they are coming up against an Exeter side that are shipping goals left and right at the moment, and this is the perfect opportunity for them to get back to winning ways in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
53.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.17%22.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.13% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.12%
    Fleetwood Town 22.69%
    Draw 24.17%
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.69%

How you voted: Exeter vs Fleetwood

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Fleetwood Town
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Nov 10, 2012 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Fleetwood
Cureton (24'), O'Flynn (57' pen.)
O'Flynn (59')
McNulty (13'), Nicholson (41')
Nicholson (45'), Davies (56'), Mawene (56'), Ferguson (61'), Ball (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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