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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Fleetwood

O'Donkor (50')
Brown (21'), Seddon (78'), Moore (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendes Gomes (2')
Warrington (21'), Andrew (34'), Batty (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Both teams recorded victories at the weekend, but with the teams separated by two points, we think that a closely-fought contest will finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
52.77% (0.239 0.24) 23.92% (-0.103 -0.1) 23.3% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (0.294 0.29)47.8% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (0.27 0.27)69.98% (-0.277 -0.28)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.202 0.2)18.07% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (0.347 0.35)48.98% (-0.352 -0.35)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)34.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.038 0.04)71.61% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 52.77%
    Fleetwood Town 23.3%
    Draw 23.92%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
76.7%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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