Exeter2 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Exeter City 0-2 Middlesbrough
Plagued by constant attacking shortcomings and also far from watertight in defence, Exeter's EFL Cup journey appears destined to end at St James Park, even with Boro sure to rotate their injury-hit resources. Carrick acknowledged that his side fell short of their usual standards against Stoke, but we have faith in Boro to get back on track and seal a quarter-final place with minimal fuss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
21.63% ( 0.03) | 21.74% ( 0.01) | 56.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.03) | 40.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( -0.03) | 62.39% ( 0.03) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.01) | 32.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.01) | 68.53% ( -0.01) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0.02) | 13.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.49% ( -0.04) | 41.5% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.63% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.63% |
