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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
69.99% ( 0.04) | 18.43% ( -0.03) | 11.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% ( 0.09) | 43.97% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.65% ( 0.09) | 66.35% ( -0.09) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% ( 0.04) | 11.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.92% ( 0.08) | 36.09% ( -0.08) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.91% ( 0.05) | 47.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.44% ( 0.04) | 82.56% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 69.98% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.43% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |