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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Bolton
1 - 0
Forest Green

Charles (6')
Morley (46')
Charles (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Although Forest Green emerged victorious in the reverse fixture, they have lost six of their last seven competitive games, and we think that they will be edged out by a Bolton side, who usually perform well on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawForest Green Rovers
69.99% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 18.43% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 11.58% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.89% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.094999999999999 0.09)43.97% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (0.094000000000001 0.09)66.35% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)11.37% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.92% (0.082999999999998 0.08)36.09% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (0.045000000000002 0.05)47.1% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (0.038 0.04)82.56% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 69.98%
    Forest Green Rovers 11.58%
    Draw 18.43%
Bolton WanderersDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 12.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 9.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 18.43%
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 11.58%

How you voted: Bolton vs Forest Green

Bolton Wanderers
91.3%
Draw
4.3%
Forest Green Rovers
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 27, 2021 12pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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