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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
44.16% ( -0.12) | 25.07% ( 0.05) | 30.77% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( -0.18) | 47.4% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( -0.16) | 69.61% ( 0.16) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( -0.13) | 21.48% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% ( -0.2) | 54.51% ( 0.2) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% ( -0.04) | 28.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% ( -0.05) | 64.72% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |