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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Morecambe
1 - 1
Forest Green

Stockton (89')
Adams (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (81')
Omotoye (79'), Peart-Harris (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 3-1 Forest Green Rovers

Undefeated in their last six matches at the Mazuma Stadium, dating back to October 8, we predict that Morecambe will inflict more relegation turmoil on Forest Green Rovers come 5pm on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
44.16% (-0.119 -0.12) 25.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 30.77% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.176 -0.18)47.4% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.163 -0.16)69.61% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.129 -0.13)21.48% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.198 -0.2)54.51% (0.197 0.2)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.86% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.052 -0.05)64.72% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 44.16%
    Forest Green Rovers 30.77%
    Draw 25.06%
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Forest Green
2-2
Morecambe
Collins (10'), Matt (79')
Stokes (23'), Bernard (38')
Stockton (22'), Mendes Gomes (90+4')
O'Sullivan (38'), Gibson (45+4')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Forest Green
Leitch-Smith (19')
Lavelle (21'), Hendrie (64'), Wildig (74'), Knight-Percival (87')
Young (79'), Matt (83')
Godwin-Malife (74'), Matt (87')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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